Why Elections will be called this year 2023…
Looking back over the past years one would wonder how far we have come and where we are heading under the leadership of this current administration led by Silveria Jacobs. It is clear that the Parliamentary majority is hanging on a thread and only by the support of two renegade MPs none of whom are associated with a Political Party, and sort of holding a thin 8 seat majority together. This scenario threatens the existence of a strong enough majority to be able to govern properly. It also shed some light on the weak performance of Parliament to get legislations through and the proper monitoring of the Council of Ministers (COM) and how they are carrying out their duties. Some of our Ministers are on record of having made unhinged decisions and at times made loose remarks which often gets them into trouble.
I believe it is important to point out the vulnerability of this 8 seat majority to justify the weakness of the government and the possibility of early elections. Our 15 seat Parliament at present, consists of 10 separate factions which represents 2/3 of Parliament operating on their own as individual MPs. The remaining 1/3 continue to be loyal to the party politics of holding the government together after having solicited the support of two individual members of Parliament namely; MP Arrindel and MP Brownbill to hold on to an eight seat majority. This thin line of just 8 seats could fall apart at any moment which would then force the Prime Minister to dissolve Parliament, and such is expected by political observers and pundits.
All of this began unfolding when the UP Party led by Rolando Brison lost two key members, MP Grisha Heyliger Marten, and MP Ludmilla de Weever. The other coalition partner, the National Alliance (NA) lost the support of MP Christopher Emmanuel earlier on, and MP Duncan shortly thereafter. That leaves the two party coalition (UP/NA) with 6 loyal MPs, not enough for a majority, and forcing MP Brison to seek the support of two independent MPs in order to maintain a slim 8 seat majority. There are no guaranties the two MPs will continue to support the government; therefore, if it falls apart the government will have no choice but to call early elections for this year 2023.
In the meantime, the political discussions held by Politicians, and the announcements of new Political Parties, have already begun to make known they will be contesting the next Election as soon as it is called. Why this will be in 2023 and not January 2024?, because it was already believed that the idea of campaigning during the Christmas season is not only conflicting and counter productive, but also the weakness of the majority makes little sense trying to carry on without getting anything done in Parliament because there is such a strong 7 member opposition that continually oppose any move of government to past legislations.